John Ibbitson said in the Globe and Mail over the weekend that the Tories had a list of 30 seats they could win. I decided to sit down and start analyzing things and come up with my own list of seats, with help in finding the last few (and identifying one good one I missed) from someone more knowledgeable about these things than me. In fact we're now up to 31! (All hits all the time! 31 straight hits with no commercials!)
Many of these seats are implausible given the current polls, but anyway....
NWFD Avalon, St. John's East, St. John's South-Mount Pearl
NB Madawaska-Restigouche, Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe
PEI Malpeque
QUE Chicoutimi-Le Fjord, Lac-Saint-Louis, Louis Hebert, Mount Royal, Richmond-Arthabaska
ONT Ajax-Pickering, Bramalea-Gore-Malton, Brampton Springdale, Brampton West, Eglinton-Lawrence, Guelph, Kingston and the Islands, London North Centre, Mississauga South, Sault Ste Marie, Welland, York Centre
MAN Elmwood-Transcona
ALB Edmonton-Strathcona
BC Burnaby-Douglas, Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca, New Westminster-Coquitlam, Vancouver South
NWT Western Arctic
YUK Yukon
Now if anybody wants to order them for me by likelihood....
Next task is to pick the most likely seats that would get us to a majority....
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